Cost mode:

Category: Relevance, Classification & Matching · Typical I/O: 20501→2411 tokens

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Models

Frontier on this task: Claude Sonnet 5.5 at 8.72 / 10. Quality bar at 90%: 7.85.

point-estimate floor (CI low) · upper CI (less certain) · Bars sorted by blended cost; best-value model first. Greyed rows are MEDIUM+ models whose point estimate does not clear the bar.

ModelQuality scoreCI lowCost / 1k runsvs best value
GPT-6 Luna8.04 / 107.94$0.64best value
Xiaomi MiMo V2.6 Flash8.27 / 107.89$3.094.8x more expensive
GPT-6 Sol8.35 / 108.21$10.0716x more expensive
Claude Sonnet 5.58.72 / 108.46$19.4330x more expensive
Meta Muse Spark 1.38.22 / 108.11$24.1838x more expensive
Moonshot Kimi K38.66 / 108.44$124.33194x more expensive
Claude Opus 5.58.64 / 108.40$185.43289x more expensive
Qwen 3.8 Max6.88 / 106.59$131.11204x more expensive
Qwen 3.7 Plus7.67 / 107.50$4.126.4x more expensive
NVIDIA Nemotron 3.5 Lightning4.17 / 103.88$1.782.8x more expensive
Gemini 3.8 Flash7.75 / 107.54$8.6513x more expensive
Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite6.14 / 105.84$3.795.9x more expensive
Qwen 3.8 Flash6.16 / 105.84$22.8536x more expensive
Thinking Machines Inkling Small6.93 / 106.65$19.3630x more expensive
Thinking Machines Inkling7.37 / 107.13$125.04195x more expensive
NVIDIA Nemotron-3 Nano 30B-A3B5.04 / 104.75$1.081.7x more expensive
MiniMax M37.49 / 107.27$7.7112x more expensive
NVIDIA Nemotron-3 Super 120B6.55 / 106.23$2.163.4x more expensive
Tencent Hy4 Preview7.57 / 107.26$56.5688x more expensive
Tencent Hy36.30 / 105.96$6.119.5x more expensive

Cost breakdown

ModelQualityConfidenceCost / 1k runsOverpayMode
GPT-6 Luna ★ OpenAI8.04 / 10 CI [7.94, 8.13]RANKED$0.64best valuebatch
Xiaomi MiMo V2.6 Flash Xiaomi MiMo8.27 / 10 CI [7.89, 8.64]MEDIUM$3.094.8xbatch
GPT-6 Sol OpenAI8.35 / 10 CI [8.21, 8.49]RANKED$10.0716xbatch
Claude Sonnet 5.5 best Anthropic8.72 / 10 CI [8.46, 8.99]HIGH$19.4330xbatch
Meta Muse Spark 1.3 OpenRouter8.22 / 10 CI [8.11, 8.33]RANKED$24.1838xbatch
Moonshot Kimi K3 Moonshot AI8.66 / 10 CI [8.44, 8.88]HIGH$124.33194xbatch
Claude Opus 5.5 Anthropic8.64 / 10 CI [8.40, 8.88]HIGH$185.43289xbatch

Overpay shows how much more you pay than the best-value model that clears the quality bar (marked ★) — the best-value good-enough option. "16x" means you overpay 16× — 16× that reference for no quality benefit above the bar. Typical call shape for this task: 20501 input tokens → 2411 output tokens, EMA-tracked from production traffic. Cost is the observed, all-in $ per 1,000 task runs: each model's own measured usage on this task — output verbosity, thinking/reasoning tokens, cache reads and writes, and the spend on its billed failures — priced at current list rates and adjusted by the billing overhead we actually reconcile against provider invoices. Models that answer tersely cost what they actually cost; models that think at length pay for it. Not comparable to providers' advertised $/1M list rates — this is what running the task costs, not a per-token price.

Evaluation rubric

Judge continuity-label correctness, materiality calibration, evidence traceability, distinction between semantic and cosmetic change, and uncertainty handling. Penalize assumptions based on elapsed time alone.

Output schema

Every answer on this task is checked against this JSON Schema, whichever model wrote it. An answer that doesn't fit counts as a model failure, and the call is retried on another model.

{
  "$defs": {
    "EvidenceRefV1": {
      "additionalProperties": false,
      "description": "A reference to one evidence cell, as `{\"id\": ..., \"cell\": ...}`.",
      "properties": {
        "cell": {
          "anyOf": [
            {
              "type": "integer"
            },
            {
              "type": "null"
            }
          ],
          "default": null,
          "title": "Cell"
        },
        "id": {
          "title": "Id",
          "type": "string"
        }
      },
      "required": [
        "id"
      ],
      "title": "EvidenceRefV1",
      "type": "object"
    }
  },
  "additionalProperties": false,
  "properties": {
    "instruction_relevance": {
      "default": "direct",
      "enum": [
        "direct",
        "supporting",
        "incidental",
        "unrelated"
      ],
      "title": "Instruction Relevance",
      "type": "string"
    },
    "materiality": {
      "default": "medium",
      "enum": [
        "high",
        "medium",
        "low",
        "none"
      ],
      "title": "Materiality",
      "type": "string"
    },
    "outcome": {
      "enum": [
        "unchanged_valid",
        "valid_with_update",
        "reversed",
        "not_observable",
        "retire"
      ],
      "title": "Outcome",
      "type": "string"
    },
    "rationale": {
      "default": "",
      "title": "Rationale",
      "type": "string"
    },
    "target_evidence_refs": {
      "items": {
        "$ref": "#/$defs/EvidenceRefV1"
      },
      "title": "Target Evidence Refs",
      "type": "array"
    }
  },
  "required": [
    "outcome"
  ],
  "title": "ContinuityAssessmentV1",
  "type": "object"
}

Prompt templates

The published template for this task.

default · LLMB_CLAIM_CONTINUITY_CLASSIFICATION_SYSTEM + LLMB_CLAIM_CONTINUITY_CLASSIFICATION_USER (18959 calls in window)

System prompt

Compare the predecessor claim and verification with the new snapshot and evidence diff. Apply the supplied materiality policy exactly. Separate wording changes from substantive changes, cite the decisive evidence, and use uncertainty when the allowlisted snapshot cannot establish continuity. Cite evidence only by the reference ids listed in snapshot_allowlists.evidence_ref_ids, copied exactly; where snapshot_allowlists.evidence_ref_by_key is supplied, it gives the id for each evidence_diff entry. Never cite an evidence_diff key or a reference from the predecessor verification: an id outside the allowlist rejects the whole answer. Cite nothing when no listed id applies. Treat empty optional values as absent and return only the requested result. Your response must conform exactly to this output schema: {schema_json_string}.

User prompt

Inputs — predecessor_claim: {predecessor_claim}; predecessor_verification: {predecessor_verification}; evidence_diff: {evidence_diff}; subject_snapshot_context: {subject_snapshot_context}; snapshot_allowlists: {snapshot_allowlists}; materiality_policy: {materiality_policy}; policy_profile: {policy_profile}. Use only these inputs to complete the task defined by the system prompt.